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2026-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 16.2% 83.8% -
Bradley-Terry 11.3% 88.7% -
Margin 5.7% 94.3% +15.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 90.7% 9.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.9% 95.1% -
Log Adjusted 4.7% 95.3% -
Points Off/Def 18.7% 81.3% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Boyd 37 6-20 2-7 0-0 5 5 5 0 1 14 8 -
J. Blackwell 35 5-11 2-5 1-1 3 4 0 0 2 13 7 -
A. Bieliauskas 34 3-9 3-8 1-2 6 3 0 1 1 10 10 -
A. Rapp 29 6-11 6-10 0-0 6 1 1 2 2 18 15 -
B. Carrington 27 2-7 2-5 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 7 3 -
A. Rohde 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 2 1 1 3 4 -
H. Jones 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
W. Garlock 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Lendeborg 35 5-9 2-4 0-0 5 3 2 1 0 12 14 -
M. Johnson Jr. 32 1-4 0-3 2-2 5 3 2 2 1 4 11 -
A. Mara 30 7-11 0-1 2-4 8 2 0 5 3 16 17 -
T. McKenney 28 3-9 2-6 2-2 2 3 0 0 3 10 3 -
R. Gayle Jr. 27 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 3 4 4 -
E. Cadeau 21 6-13 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 15 5 -
N. Burnett 14 1-6 0-5 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
W. Tschetter 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter