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2026-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.2% 85.8% - โœ“
Margin 5.5% 94.5% +15.6 โœ“ (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Boyd 37 6-20 2-7 0-0 5 5 5 0 1 14 8 +1.6
John Blackwell 35 5-11 2-5 1-1 3 4 0 0 2 13 7 +8.2
Aleksas Bieliauskas 34 3-9 3-8 1-2 6 3 0 1 1 10 10 -0.1
Austin Rapp 29 6-11 6-10 0-0 6 1 1 2 2 18 15 -2.7
Braeden Carrington 27 2-7 2-5 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 7 3 -1.1
Andrew Rohde 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 2 1 1 3 4 -5.4
Hayden Jones 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 +5.8
Will Garlock 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2.9

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Yaxel Lendeborg 35 5-9 2-4 0-0 5 3 2 1 0 12 14 +12.1
Morez Johnson Jr. 32 1-4 0-3 2-2 5 3 2 2 1 4 11 +0.1
Aday Mara 30 7-11 0-1 2-4 8 2 0 5 3 16 17 +4.0
Trey McKenney 28 3-9 2-6 2-2 2 3 0 0 3 10 3 +3.8
Roddy Gayle Jr. 27 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 3 4 4 -7.4
Elliot Cadeau 21 6-13 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 15 5 -0.6
Nimari Burnett 14 1-6 0-5 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 4 1 -0.1
Will Tschetter 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 +6.9

* = starter