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2026-03-13

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 21.7% 78.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.0% 67.0% -
Margin 19.1% 80.9% +7.9 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% -
Log Adjusted 20.4% 79.6% -
Points Off/Def 31.5% 68.5% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans -4 (84-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dent 38 8-18 3-5 4-5 6 12 4 0 2 23 25 -
E. Dailey Jr. 34 5-7 2-3 2-4 10 3 4 2 3 14 23 -
S. Clark 33 6-11 3-8 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 15 6 -
T. Perry 30 6-10 4-8 6-6 0 3 0 1 1 22 15 -
B. Williams 19 3-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 3 0 0 9 12 -
X. Booker 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
E. Freeny 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
T. Bilodeau 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
J. Brown 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. Jamerson II 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fears Jr. 36 7-14 2-3 5-5 1 13 1 0 4 21 18 -
J. Scott 29 2-7 2-6 1-1 4 3 1 1 4 7 5 -
C. Cooper 29 4-7 0-0 5-6 5 1 1 0 0 13 13 -
C. Carr 28 5-9 1-1 1-3 8 3 0 0 1 12 13 -
J. Kohler 26 2-6 1-3 2-2 7 2 0 0 0 7 10 -
K. Teng 26 4-11 3-8 2-3 1 1 0 0 2 13 2 -
T. Fort 13 3-5 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 8 6 -
C. Ward 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
D. Wojcik 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter