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2026-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 37.1% 62.9% -
Bradley-Terry 57.2% 42.8% -
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.7% 49.3% -
Log Adjusted 50.8% 49.2% -
Points Off/Def 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stirtz 39 6-11 2-5 3-4 1 4 0 1 3 17 9 -
C. Koch 27 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
A. Folgueiras 23 2-4 2-4 2-3 6 3 0 0 0 8 13 -
C. Manyawu 22 4-5 0-0 1-2 1 1 2 0 2 9 6 -
K. Combs 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 3 6 -
T. Banks 19 3-6 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 9 6 -
T. Sage 18 1-4 1-1 5-6 2 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
I. Howard 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 5 4 -
B. Hausen 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
T. Jirak 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 2 4 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Thornton 38 10-14 2-4 2-2 6 3 0 0 1 24 18 -
A. Bynum 37 5-10 0-3 1-2 4 4 0 0 1 11 8 -
J. Mobley Jr. 37 3-9 3-8 3-4 2 3 0 0 2 12 6 -
C. Tilly 29 5-6 0-0 6-9 4 2 1 0 3 16 14 -
D. Royal 26 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 2 2 0 0 6 8 -
T. Chatman 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
I. Njegovan 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
C. White 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Cupps 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter