Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.5% | 92.5% | +17.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.7 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +8 (73-65). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabou Gueye * | 40 | 9-22 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 7 | +19.6 |
| Orlagh Gormley * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | +20.5 |
| Teneisia Brown * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +11.8 |
| Nalani Kaysia * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +18.1 |
| Payton Dunbar * | 9 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | +4.1 |
| Princess Moody | 24 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +6.7 |
| Sophi Hall | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +11.0 |
| Ashley Dinges | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.8 |
| Riley Hamburger | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.7 |
| Eseosa Imafidon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Bascoe * | 40 | 12-23 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 9 | -10.8 |
| Kennedy Henry * | 33 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 21 | -9.0 |
| Brynn McCurry * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -13.9 |
| Denae Carter * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -7.7 |
| Kelsey Joens * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -15.9 |
| Dani Ceseretti | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -7.9 |
| Ryanne Allen | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -15.2 |
| Kylee Watson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +6.9 |
| Brooke Bender | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
* = starter