Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +5 (79-74). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Tugler * | 35 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +8.1 |
| Kingston Flemings * | 34 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -6.9 |
| Milos Uzan * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +2.8 |
| Emanuel Sharp * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +5.4 |
| Chris Cenac Jr * | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +3.7 |
| Mercy Miller | 21 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +6.8 |
| Chase McCarty | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Kalifa Sakho | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Kharchenkov * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +4.8 |
| Jaden Bradley * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | -3.6 |
| Brayden Burries * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | +8.3 |
| Koa Peat * | 27 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | +9.6 |
| Motiejus Krivas * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +5.7 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +4.2 |
| Tobe Awaka | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9.9 |
| Dwayne Aristode | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.7 |
| Sidi Gueye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
* = starter