Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett | 39 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Keonte Jones | 32 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| De'Shayne Montgomery | 31 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Derkack | 28 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 1-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Amael L'Etang | 27 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jaiun Simon | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Bryce Heard | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jacob Conner | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Malcolm Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Evans | 34 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Nyk Lewis | 33 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 33 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Michael Belle | 28 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jadrian Tracey | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tyrell Ward | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Jennings | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Lazar Djokovic | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
* = starter