Model Predictions
| Model | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cayden Charles | 39 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Frank Mitchell | 38 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Dasonte Bowen | 33 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Egbuniwe | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Darryl Simmons II | 31 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Andrew Osasuyi | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Joseph Grahovac | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett | 38 | 8-12 | 6-10 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Keonte Jones | 34 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| De'Shayne Montgomery | 31 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jaiun Simon | 28 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Amael L'Etang | 23 | 4-15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Derkack | 22 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Bryce Heard | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jacob Conner | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Malcolm Thomas | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
* = starter