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2026-03-12

Model Predictions

Model St. Bonaventure Bonnies George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 38.5% 61.5% -
Bradley-Terry 23.9% 76.1% -
Margin 26.9% 73.1% +5.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.7% 72.3% -
Log Adjusted 27.6% 72.4% -
Points Off/Def 35.4% 64.6% -

Actual: George Mason Patriots -6 (57-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Simmons II 40 4-13 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 9 -3 -
D. Bowen 40 5-12 1-4 9-9 6 3 0 0 2 20 15 -
F. Mitchell 38 7-11 0-0 0-0 7 2 6 0 2 14 16 -
C. Charles 33 2-7 0-0 8-10 7 2 1 0 1 12 14 -
D. Egbuniwe 20 2-6 1-4 1-3 2 0 1 0 0 6 3 -
A. Osasuyi 20 1-1 0-0 0-3 5 1 1 3 0 2 11 -
J. Grahovac 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Mincy 38 5-15 2-7 0-0 5 1 2 0 4 12 1 -
J. Long 38 6-12 4-7 1-2 3 2 1 1 3 17 9 -
N. Ellington 33 4-7 0-0 2-4 8 0 1 1 0 10 13 -
R. Allenspach 33 6-13 0-5 0-0 10 0 1 1 1 12 10 -
M. Troutman 32 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
E. Kanga 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
D. Booker 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Presley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter