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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Margin 17.9% 82.1% +8.4 โœ“ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.4% 85.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.3% 86.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.3% 68.7% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hannah Hidalgo 40 10-24 1-3 3-3 8 2 4 0 6 24 8 -
Iyana Moore 37 3-13 2-6 6-6 2 2 1 0 2 14 4 -
V. de Jesus 35 4-10 2-6 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 10 5 -
Cassandre Prosper 33 3-8 0-2 1-3 4 0 4 1 4 7 4 -
KK Bransford 20 1-2 1-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
Gisela Sanchez 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 1 0 4 5 -
Malaya Cowles 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 0 7 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taina Mair 38 6-11 2-5 2-2 8 8 3 0 2 16 22 -
Ashlon Jackson 35 1-11 1-7 0-0 6 2 1 0 3 3 -2 -
Riley Nelson 34 4-11 1-5 1-3 5 5 1 1 2 10 9 -
Toby Fournier 34 7-15 0-0 0-1 8 2 2 4 2 14 13 -
Delaney Thomas 31 4-10 0-0 1-1 10 0 2 0 3 9 8 -
Jordan Wood 15 2-2 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 6 4 -
Arianna Roberson 13 3-8 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 1 5 7 -4 -

* = starter