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2026-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 37.2% 62.8% -
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Log Adjusted 26.5% 73.5% -
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -13 (50-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Thompson 35 0-7 0-2 0-0 11 4 0 0 2 0 6 -
R. Rose 35 2-3 1-1 3-5 4 5 3 0 2 8 15 -
T. Johnson-Matthews 29 3-10 2-3 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 10 3 -
D. Hinds 22 2-3 0-0 1-4 3 2 1 0 1 5 7 -
M. Moore 22 7-8 2-2 3-4 4 2 0 0 3 19 14 -
R. Augustinaite 18 2-9 2-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
H. Kohn 16 2-3 2-3 2-4 3 2 0 0 0 8 10 -
H. Periman 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 3 1 -
M. Lee 5 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 -
H. Harris 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Clark 39 7-13 1-3 0-1 4 1 4 0 2 15 9 -
K. Johnson 38 5-18 2-11 0-2 4 3 1 0 2 12 0 -
S. Smith 35 1-7 0-0 0-0 11 3 1 3 1 2 12 -
R. Levy 21 1-6 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 1 3 5 -1 -
C. Weimar 19 1-4 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
G. White 17 2-5 0-0 1-4 2 1 1 0 3 5 1 -
T. Amanze 16 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 5 3 -
B. Hurd 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Ring 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter