Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +7 (81-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Lubin | 37 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Q. Copeland | 36 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| P. McNeil | 34 | 7-15 | 6-11 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 19 | - |
| T. Holloman | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Dar. Williams | 24 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Able | 23 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. Arceneaux | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Sagnia | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hall | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| U. Onyenso | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| T. De Ridder | 28 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Lewis | 26 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| C. Mallory | 23 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. White | 20 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| M. Thomas | 20 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| D. Tillis | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| J. Grünloh | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter