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2026-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% - โœ“
Margin 11.5% 88.5% +11.2 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 11.5% 88.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.6% 88.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.5% 88.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +10 (98-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Barry Dunning Jr. 40 4-10 3-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 11 5 -5.2
Cameron Corhen 37 9-12 0-1 9-11 7 1 1 1 5 27 20 -0.6
Omari Witherspoon 35 6-11 3-7 4-5 1 2 1 0 4 19 8 -1.4
Nojus Indrusaitis 31 6-9 5-8 2-3 4 6 0 0 1 19 19 -0.8
Roman Siulepa 26 1-3 0-2 5-6 4 0 0 1 1 7 8 -5.2
Damarco Minor 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 4 0 1 0 3 5 +4.8
Macari Moore 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 4 -3.5
Kieran Mullen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.2

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quadir Copeland 37 7-10 0-0 10-12 4 8 2 0 5 24 23 +10.5
Dar. Williams 36 4-8 4-5 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 12 11 +15.6
V. Lubin 32 5-6 0-0 8-8 5 0 0 1 0 18 18 +9.0
Paul McNeil Jr. 32 4-6 3-5 4-5 1 2 0 0 0 15 12 +12.8
Tre Holloman 30 5-8 3-5 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 14 12 -1.2
Matt Able 15 5-12 2-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 12 5 +1.3
Terrance Arceneaux 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -14.0
Scottie Ebube 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.3
Musa Sagnia 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.8

* = starter