Model Predictions
| Model | Western Michigan Broncos | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EJ Ryans | 29 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jayden Brewer | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Max Burton | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Justice Williams | 24 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Brady Swartz | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trey Lewis | 21 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Carson Vis | 19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Declan Peterson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Griffith | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Sharod Barnes | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Drone | 34 | 9-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| DJ Hall | 30 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Kyndall Davis | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kaden Gumbs | 29 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Franck Emmou | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Sant | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Makai Willis | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Bolden | 13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Robert Fields | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
* = starter