Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✓ (34.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +37 (91-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javontae Campbell | 38 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Sam Towns | 34 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Josiah Shackelford | 31 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Troy Glover II | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Justin Thomas | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Javon Ruffin | 15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Mayar Wol | 12 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Aiden Goins | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Makhi Leach | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Camden Karel | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Kimbrough Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Jackson | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Christian Harmon | 25 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Aly Tounkara | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Hampton | 20 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Joey Chammaa | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Chudi Dioramma | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| TJ Caldwell | 19 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| K. Hayman | 15 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| R. Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| F. Sylla | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter