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2025-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Jacksonville Dolphins Spread Result
Elo 63.3% 36.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.4% 35.6% - โœ“
Margin 86.3% 13.7% -10.1 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 67.4% 32.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 61.6% 38.4% - โœ“

Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins -15 (53-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elias Ralph * 40 5-10 0-2 4-4 10 3 2 0 3 14 16 +10.9
TJ Wainwright * 37 6-13 3-8 0-0 7 2 1 0 3 15 9 +14.4
Isaac Jack * 29 4-8 0-0 3-6 9 0 0 2 1 11 13 +5.4
Justin Rochelin * 19 0-5 0-4 6-6 7 0 0 0 1 6 7 +1.1
Kajus Kublickas * 19 1-6 0-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 -1 +9.4
Jaden Clayton 34 2-8 1-5 2-3 6 5 1 0 1 7 10 +14.3
Alexis Marmolejos 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -1.8
Jaion Pitt 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -2.8
KC Ibekwe 4 3-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 7 6 +5.5

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Lockett * 31 4-10 0-3 1-1 6 2 1 0 1 9 7 -3.4
Jaylen Jones * 29 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 5 -2 -5.5
Jason Thirdkill Jr. * 27 3-5 0-1 2-2 3 2 2 0 1 8 9 -11.1
Donovan Rivers * 24 4-5 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 1 1 9 8 +3.1
Hayden Wood * 20 0-5 0-3 3-5 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 +8.0
Evan Sterck 21 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 -15.2
Chris Arias 19 3-10 1-4 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 10 1 -6.0
Charles Caporaso 9 1-1 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 5 8 -4.2
Allen Udemadu 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -10.3
Michael Harper 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -6.5
Enrico Borio 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.7
Simon Wheeler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.9

* = starter