Model Predictions
| Model | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasir Whitlock * | 38 | 11-19 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 13 | +6.0 |
| Joshua Ingram * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +6.5 |
| Caleb Thomas * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Hank Alvey * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | +7.9 |
| Peter Kramer * | 25 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +9.0 |
| Jake Pike | 24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Jalen Vazquez | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6.9 |
| Andrew Urosevic | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Alfredo Addesa | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.1 |
| Henri Adiassa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Hall * | 41 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 28 | -5.7 |
| Mark Drone * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Kaden Gumbs * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -5.4 |
| Franck Emmou * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +4.7 |
| Makai Willis * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1.7 |
| Dimp Pernell | 21 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -11.1 |
| Robert Fields | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.1 |
| T. Sant | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ky Pernell | 11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Kyndall Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Jalen Bolden | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.0 |
* = starter