Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | +8.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +2.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +5 (102-97). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul McNeil Jr. * | 38 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| V. Lubin * | 37 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Quadir Copeland * | 33 | 10-14 | 2-3 | 6-10 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Dar. Williams * | 32 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Tre Holloman * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Alyn Breed | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Matt Able | 9 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Musa Sagnia | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pope * | 38 | 8-15 | 7-13 | 5-6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Dailyn Swain * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Matas Vokietaitis * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Camden Heide * | 22 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Tramon Mark * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Chendall Weaver | 32 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Simeon Wilcher | 23 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Lassina Traore | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter