Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +2 (80-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard * | 36 | 11-25 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 12 | +5.2 |
| Jayden Epps * | 34 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | -2.0 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Quincy Ballard * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +5.4 |
| Achor Achor * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -7.1 |
| Amier Ali | 18 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Brandon Walker | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.3 |
| King Grace | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Dellquan Warren | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriah Tenette * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Tomislav Buljan * | 29 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 29 | -3.5 |
| Antonio Chol * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +1.6 |
| C. Howell * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -4.3 |
| Jake Hall * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +6.0 |
| Deyton Albury | 23 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Luke Haupt | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +3.1 |
| JT Rock | 11 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | +6.5 |
| K. Patton Jr. | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.5 |
* = starter