Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✗ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +5 (83-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuti Jones | 37 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Avery Strickland | 36 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Jailyn Banks | 35 | 7-24 | 6-16 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | - |
| Quinn Eubank | 29 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Kyrah Brodie | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Sanaa Tripp | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Hilary Fuller | 23 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Claire Hyde | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Martin | 43 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| T. Fayta | 42 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Washington | 37 | 10-14 | 2-2 | 9-9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 27 | - |
| G. Nelson | 33 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Pratt | 26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Hurt | 21 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| B. Finnegan | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Austin | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter