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2026-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 91.7% 8.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 83.4% 16.6% - โœ“
Margin 90.3% 9.7% -12.3 โœ“ (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 71.2% 28.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 87.5% 12.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.0% 8.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.0% 8.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 73.2% 26.8% - โœ“

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -29 (48-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taryn Wharton 33 2-4 1-1 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 5 10 +19.8
Jenna Twedt 30 8-13 6-9 5-6 8 3 0 0 1 27 24 +18.8
Kaylynn Janes 28 7-17 2-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 16 3 +19.4
Ryley Goebel 23 9-11 0-0 2-3 7 0 1 3 2 20 18 +12.8
Lauren Walker 23 2-6 1-3 4-5 3 0 0 0 2 9 4 +15.7
Elise Jaeger 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 0 3 +7.8
Virginia Edmondson 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 2 +2.0
Mya Nicholson 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 +7.8
Maren Schmotzer 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 -1.0
Abby Tuttle 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +4.0

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alayna Kraus 32 2-9 1-4 1-2 0 3 0 0 4 6 -4 -21.6
Kynnedi Davis 31 5-11 1-1 3-4 3 2 1 0 0 14 9 -20.1
Indya Green 30 4-10 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 2 8 7 -17.4
Jeniah Thompson 24 2-8 0-1 2-4 5 1 1 0 2 6 3 -16.7
Tkiyah Nelson 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 5 -4.8
Kayla Cooper 22 3-8 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 7 5 -14.7
Karris Allen 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 +3.4
C. Morales 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.5
Hiba Malkawi 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -6.8
Kelowna Ngoyi 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -7.1
Mia Gaines 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.1
Ternadoo Agatha Agba 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -1.9
Angela Samuel 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.2

* = starter