Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.1% | 4.9% | -16.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -24 (59-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Runner | 29 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 30 | +25.0 |
| S. Huber | 28 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +24.5 |
| J. Savic | 23 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +4.9 |
| K. Norkus | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | +14.2 |
| B. Ward | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +4.3 |
| G. Ferguson | 19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7.7 |
| E. Snyder | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +13.3 |
| K. Kreinhagen | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3.6 |
| M. Mustaros | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Georgia Cox | 10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | +5.9 |
| D. Llavero | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -6.9 |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. von Schlegell | 32 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | -28.5 |
| M. Huffine | 32 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -11.5 |
| F. Connolly | 28 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -21.1 |
| K. Sullivan | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -12.1 |
| M. Nenadic | 23 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | -10.6 |
| K. Preston | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -15.7 |
| A. Dibb | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -9.6 |
| K. Sproule | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +5.1 |
| K. Winch | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -0.8 |
| I. Anderson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.8 |
| B. Swedlund | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
* = starter