Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.1% | 20.9% | -7.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -15 (52-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jailyn Banks | 34 | 9-20 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | +15.2 |
| Tuti Jones | 33 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | +15.8 |
| Quinn Eubank | 31 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | +22.4 |
| Sanaa Tripp | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +6.8 |
| Kyrah Brodie | 20 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Leah West | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +20.1 |
| Avery Strickland | 16 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | -3.6 |
| Claire Hyde | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +5.0 |
| Kate McGinnis | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.2 |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Becker | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | -9.1 |
| Ava Hawthorne | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -9.9 |
| Brooklin Dailey | 28 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | -14.7 |
| Abbie Aalsma | 27 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7.6 |
| Grace Knutson | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -11.1 |
| Maggie Taylor | 24 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -17.4 |
| Lexi Carlsen | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -10.1 |
| Quinn Vice | 12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +7.4 |
| Taedyn Gray | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Shannon Fornshell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.5 |
* = starter