Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.6% | 20.4% | -7.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -15 (52-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Banks | 34 | 9-20 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | +13.6 |
| T. Jones | 33 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | +12.3 |
| Q. Eubank | 31 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | +19.2 |
| S. Tripp | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +3.8 |
| K. Brodie | 20 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -5.6 |
| L. West | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +19.7 |
| A. Strickland | 16 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | -2.0 |
| C. Hyde | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +6.3 |
| K. McGinnis | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.9 |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Becker | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | -6.3 |
| A. Hawthorne | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -10.2 |
| B. Dailey | 28 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | -14.4 |
| A. Aalsma | 27 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7.7 |
| G. Knutson | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -13.0 |
| M. Taylor | 24 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -15.1 |
| L. Carlsen | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -9.7 |
| Q. Vice | 12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +5.7 |
| T. Gray | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| S. Fornshell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
* = starter