Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Carrothers | 36 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | +0.3 |
| T. Clayton | 35 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | -5.2 |
| Crystal Ortiz | 31 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +7.6 |
| Sara Zabrecky | 27 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3.0 |
| Julia Coleman | 25 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Magdalena Winter | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -10.6 |
| Grace Harris | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.3 |
| Amelia Strong | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Jarius Powers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Nelson | 38 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | +6.0 |
| M. Wardle | 34 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | +0.3 |
| M. Foz | 32 | 8-18 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | +26.4 |
| E. McDermid | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -6.8 |
| T. Perryman | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +3.6 |
| A. O'Hara | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -12.6 |
| C. Washington | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +3.2 |
| K. Fortson | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +16.0 |
| Micah Cooper | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.3 |
* = starter