Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | UIC Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UIC Flames +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Martin | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| J. Pratt | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T. Fayta | 33 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| D. Washington | 29 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| K. Hurt | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| G. Nelson | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Finnegan | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Austin | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Clayton | 35 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Julia Coleman | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jessica Carrothers | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Crystal Ortiz | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Sara Zabrecky | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Magdalena Winter | 21 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Amelia Strong | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Grace Harris | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Samantha Serrano | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter