Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.4% | 34.6% | -3.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -18 (48-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Carrothers | 32 | 12-20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 8 | -5.5 |
| Sara Zabrecky | 32 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -23.6 |
| Julia Coleman | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | -18.3 |
| T. Clayton | 29 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -24.2 |
| Magdalena Winter | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -21.8 |
| Amelia Strong | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Grace Harris | 16 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -9.0 |
| Samantha Serrano | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Crystal Ortiz | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.4 |
| London Walker-George | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Marissa Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Luebbers Palmer | 36 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | +24.1 |
| C. Runner | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +12.0 |
| S. Huber | 20 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | +9.4 |
| G. Ferguson | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +13.5 |
| Georgia Cox | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +4.2 |
| J. Savic | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +16.1 |
| B. Ward | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | +16.4 |
| K. Norkus | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +3.7 |
| E. Snyder | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
| D. Llavero | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.2 |
* = starter