Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Aalsma | 37 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | +2.8 |
| G. Knutson | 32 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 6 | -1.4 |
| A. Hawthorne | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -13.6 |
| B. Dailey | 28 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 16 | +1.0 |
| M. Taylor | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -11.8 |
| A. Becker | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3 | -4.5 |
| Q. Vice | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +7.1 |
| L. Carlsen | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.3 |
| P. McCabe | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +9.2 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones | 35 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 10 | +6.7 |
| A. Strickland | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +2.7 |
| Q. Eubank | 33 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | +25.0 |
| J. Banks | 31 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +1.0 |
| K. Brodie | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | +9.3 |
| S. Tripp | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -8.6 |
| H. Fuller | 9 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | +1.7 |
| L. West | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5.4 |
| C. Hyde | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.9 |
* = starter