Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Carrothers | 36 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | -8.2 |
| Julia Coleman | 30 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | -9.6 |
| Sara Zabrecky | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.6 |
| T. Clayton | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | -10.2 |
| Magdalena Winter | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -6.2 |
| Samantha Serrano | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +9.6 |
| Amelia Strong | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Crystal Ortiz | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +6.2 |
| Grace Harris | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
| Marissa Green | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.9 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fayta | 36 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +10.1 |
| D. Washington | 34 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 21 | +16.8 |
| A. Martin | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +8.0 |
| J. Pratt | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +13.4 |
| K. Hurt | 23 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | +10.3 |
| G. Nelson | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +2.6 |
| M. Austin | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -4.1 |
| B. Finnegan | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -2.2 |
| J. Fenske | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Z. Adams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
| D. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
* = starter