Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.8% | 76.2% | +6.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +7 (75-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Martin | 37 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -10.4 |
| D. Washington | 36 | 10-20 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 21 | -17.7 |
| T. Fayta | 35 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 6 | -16.0 |
| J. Pratt | 34 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -6.4 |
| G. Nelson | 28 | 7-11 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | -4.0 |
| K. Hurt | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.2 |
| M. Austin | 7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3.2 |
| B. Finnegan | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -6.3 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jailyn Banks | 38 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 6-10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | +14.3 |
| Tuti Jones | 35 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Hilary Fuller | 31 | 11-21 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | +7.2 |
| Quinn Eubank | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +20.9 |
| Sanaa Tripp | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +17.7 |
| Avery Strickland | 23 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +17.7 |
| Kyrah Brodie | 19 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +6.7 |
| Claire Hyde | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter