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2025-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Evansville Purple Aces Belmont Bruins Spread Result
Elo 18.9% 81.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.4% 88.6% - โœ“
Margin 4.2% 95.8% +17.2 โœ“ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 22.7% 77.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 5.8% 94.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.4% 98.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.2% 98.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 17.5% 82.5% - โœ“

Actual: Belmont Bruins +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Runner 39 6-15 1-7 3-4 7 6 2 0 3 16 13 +12.8
L. Luebbers Palmer 28 6-21 6-17 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 18 0 +11.8
B. Ward 26 2-10 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 6 -3 +18.6
E. Snyder 26 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 +9.1
S. Huber 24 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 6 3 +6.5
M. Mustaros 20 2-3 0-0 5-6 6 2 1 0 3 9 12 +7.0
G. Ferguson 14 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 2 6 5 +5.3
J. Savic 14 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 +4.8
Georgia Cox 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 +1.1
K. Norkus 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Belmont Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quinn Eubank 34 3-8 0-2 5-6 8 0 0 0 2 11 9 -3.2
Sanaa Tripp 32 2-4 1-1 3-4 2 1 3 0 5 8 5 -23.4
Tuti Jones 32 5-9 3-6 0-0 4 5 4 0 1 13 16 -8.1
Avery Strickland 31 6-10 0-1 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 12 9 -17.3
Kyrah Brodie 17 4-6 0-0 1-5 3 2 1 2 3 9 8 +3.2
Hilary Fuller 16 6-13 0-1 7-8 5 1 1 1 3 19 11 -18.7
Kate McGinnis 14 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 4 -2.9
Leah West 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 0 3 +0.4
Claire Hyde 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 +5.9

* = starter