Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.3% | 1.7% | -22.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -17 (44-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Zabrecky | 34 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +16.8 |
| Crystal Ortiz | 32 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +24.1 |
| Samantha Serrano | 29 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2.5 |
| T. Clayton | 25 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +14.4 |
| Magdalena Winter | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 16 | -1.7 |
| Julia Coleman | 19 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +14.1 |
| Grace Harris | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +11.4 |
| London Walker-George | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +4.2 |
| Jarius Powers | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -7.7 |
| Megen Sanaj | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -6.9 |
| Marissa Green | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.8 |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Huffine | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -4 | -12.0 |
| A. von Schlegell | 29 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -5 | -19.5 |
| M. Shabtai | 29 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 1-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | -4.0 |
| F. Connolly | 27 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 3 | +0.7 |
| A. Dibb | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -13.6 |
| M. Nenadic | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +1.9 |
| K. Sproule | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -4.1 |
| K. Waytashek | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -16.3 |
| K. Winch | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
* = starter