Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | +0.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +11 (76-65). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlee White * | 39 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Abigail Wright * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | - |
| S. Glenn-Bello * | 31 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Katie Krupa * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Gabby Anderson * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nina Emnace | 18 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Alayna Rocco | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Aubrey Shaw | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mary Hollensteiner | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Barnes * | 39 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Mjracle Sheppard * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Lulu Twidale * | 26 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Sakima Walker * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Aliyahna Morris * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Gisella Maul | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Lola Donez | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Naya Ojukwu | 11 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Claudia Langarita | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter