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2025-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 53.6% 46.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 67.2% 32.8% - โœ—
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 โœ“ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - โœ“

Actual: Bradley Braves +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kaden Metheny * 36 3-9 1-5 3-4 3 4 1 0 1 10 8 -7.3
Zach Cleveland * 35 2-4 0-0 2-7 11 8 2 0 4 6 19 -3.5
Brett Decker Jr. * 35 8-12 5-6 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 21 10 -2.5
Colin Porter * 32 3-7 2-6 0-0 2 2 3 0 4 8 4 -9.3
JJ Harper * 26 3-8 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 7 1 +5.0
Zander Carter 18 2-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 6 2 -0.1
Josh Smith 13 1-2 0-0 4-8 1 0 1 2 0 6 8 -3.1
Zander Yates 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Ryan Jones Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0
Drew Grimes 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.0
Torr Sorensen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0
JC Shirer Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaquan Johnson * 33 2-8 2-4 6-6 3 5 3 0 5 12 10 -2.4
Demarion Burch * 33 8-10 1-2 4-6 8 2 2 0 1 21 22 +2.5
AJ Smith * 26 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 5 4 -2.3
Alex Huibregtse * 23 4-5 4-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 12 11 +5.6
Ahmet Jonovic * 20 2-6 0-0 2-2 5 3 0 3 2 6 9 +1.3
Montana Wheeler 22 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 3 4 2 +6.4
Timoty Van Der Knaap 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 +11.2
Corey Thomas 17 5-9 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 2 0 10 9 +0.4
Dietrich Richardson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.1
Kai Yu 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.0

* = starter