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2025-11-25

Model Predictions

Model UC San Diego Tritons Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 51.3% 48.7% -
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% -
Margin 37.5% 62.5% +2.8 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% -
Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% -
Log Adjusted 39.6% 60.4% -
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -10 (77-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC San Diego Tritons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Beattie * 34 4-9 2-4 3-4 7 4 1 0 0 13 16 +0.6
L. Beath * 32 8-14 3-5 7-10 5 2 3 1 2 26 21 +5.3
A. Burke * 29 4-8 3-7 5-6 4 1 0 0 0 16 13 +5.2
E. Prospere II * 29 2-5 1-1 0-1 5 3 1 1 1 5 9 +8.0
B. Dengdit * 21 2-8 0-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 6 0 +2.9
H. Mayes 21 2-2 0-0 6-8 2 1 1 1 1 10 12 +2.9
A. Chaikin 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 3 3 +11.3
T. Johnson 8 3-3 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 5 +5.6
C. Pendleton 7 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 +2.6
D. Vukicevic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.1

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Johnson * 33 9-15 5-8 6-9 5 6 1 0 3 29 23 -4.6
T. van der Knaap * 29 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 2 3 -12.2
A. Huibregtse * 27 6-12 6-11 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 18 9 -9.9
AJ Smith * 26 1-8 0-1 3-4 13 2 1 1 0 5 14 +13.6
A. Jonovic * 25 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 3 1 4 9 +2.3
M. Wheeler 23 3-8 2-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 1 -6.4
D. Burch 21 3-8 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 7 -1 -8.8
C. Thomas 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -3.3
K. Yu 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -2.7
M. Zobrist 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.8

* = starter