Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Liberty Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Liberty Flames -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Tejada * | 36 | 8-17 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +7.8 |
| D. Williamson * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | +4.5 |
| T. Schmidt * | 23 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +4.4 |
| C. Ndefo * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -4.7 |
| C. Embeya * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | +9.2 |
| J. Doumbia | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +0.5 |
| T. Coleman | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +4.0 |
| M. Seck | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| A. Samb | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.8 |
| J. Cole | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Cleveland * | 39 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -1.4 |
| B. Decker Jr. * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +0.6 |
| K. Metheny * | 34 | 6-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +3.8 |
| C. Porter * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -3.2 |
| J. Harper * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 16 | -3.6 |
| J. Smith | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Z. Carter | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Z. Yates | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
| R. Jones Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
* = starter