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2025-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Saint Mary's Gaels Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 38.5% 61.5% -
Bradley-Terry 33.0% 67.0% -
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% -
Log Adjusted 30.6% 69.4% -
Points Off/Def 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +25 (96-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Murauskas * 36 6-13 1-6 11-13 4 3 1 0 3 24 16 +0.9
J. Dent * 32 3-6 0-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 8 4 +21.3
M. Lewis * 31 5-12 4-7 5-5 5 1 0 0 0 19 13 +3.7
A. McKeever * 27 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 3 6 8 -2.8
R. Hawke * 24 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 7 1 +5.4
D. Shaw 20 3-8 1-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 7 6 -21.7
H. Wessels 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -6.6
L. Campbell 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -13.8
T. Duckett 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -9.0
C. Bennett 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -5.7
M. Juzenas 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.1

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Tanner * 30 5-9 1-3 2-2 3 3 2 1 0 13 13 +4.7
D. Miles * 30 9-16 1-2 6-9 4 4 3 0 3 25 17 -13.5
T. Nickel * 30 3-7 3-5 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 11 9 +5.4
AK Okereke * 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -7.5
D. McGlockton * 18 4-7 0-1 3-3 7 2 0 0 0 11 13 -1.2
J. Washington 25 7-11 2-4 3-3 1 0 0 2 0 19 11 +10.2
F. Collins 20 3-7 0-0 1-1 5 6 1 0 1 7 11 +11.9
C. Bing 11 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 +8.5
T. Harris 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 +9.3
J. Dean-Vines 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +4.1
M. Nicholson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +5.0
C. Messer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.1
M. Keeffe 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.1
J. Leverett 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 +3.1

* = starter