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2026-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.3% 64.7% - โœ“
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 โœ“ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“

Actual: Boise State Broncos +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Rechsteiner 31 6-11 5-8 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 17 11 -5.9
Josh Pascarelli 29 3-8 2-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 10 9 -13.0
Jevin Muniz 27 3-6 2-4 6-6 8 4 1 0 5 14 16 +1.9
Jase Butler 27 1-4 1-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 5 4 -2.4
Rashaan Mbemba 25 6-7 2-2 3-4 4 1 0 0 4 17 11 -9.7
Augustinas Kiudulas 22 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -0.1
Kyle Jorgensen 16 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 +1.9
Carey Booth 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -5.3
Darnez Slater 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +3.0
Jojo McIver 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.0

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Meadow 34 5-9 3-6 2-4 4 1 0 0 1 15 10 +10.7
Dylan Andrews 30 5-11 4-7 7-8 0 2 0 0 1 21 11 +8.7
RJ Keene 28 2-5 2-5 0-1 5 1 1 0 0 6 8 +11.0
Javan Buchanan 25 3-7 2-5 2-2 5 0 4 0 0 10 12 +4.5
Drew Fielder 25 3-7 1-3 4-5 8 4 0 0 4 11 12 +3.6
Pearson Carmichael 24 2-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 4 0 -1.5
Dominic Parolin 15 2-3 0-1 4-5 3 0 0 1 1 8 8 +3.3
Aginaldo Neto 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 4 4 -3.6
Spencer Ahrens 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 -2.0

* = starter