Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Dartmouth Big Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -8 (77-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jennings * | 34 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | +4.1 |
| E. Banks * | 32 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | -1.6 |
| A. Dodd * | 28 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19 | +13.3 |
| L. Wilson * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +11.4 |
| C. Moodie * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.5 |
| A. Njock | 26 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +2.3 |
| J. Clarke Jr. | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -5.2 |
| J. Tot | 18 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +8.2 |
| M. Marcus Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -4.4 |
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Amundsen * | 33 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3.7 |
| J. Williams * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +3.6 |
| K. Thomas * | 30 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 10-13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 14 | -12.2 |
| B. Mitchell-Day * | 26 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -12.8 |
| J. Munro * | 25 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +5.4 |
| B. Brown | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -13.0 |
| N. Abusara | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +6.1 |
| P. Tivnan Jr. | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -0.3 |
| C. McNamee | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.8 |
* = starter