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2025-11-16

Model Predictions

Model App State Mountaineers Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 52.4% 47.6% -
Bradley-Terry 67.5% 32.5% -
Margin 58.5% 41.5% -1.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 62.3% 37.7% -
Efficiency 96.2% 3.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% -
Log Adjusted 70.6% 29.4% -
Points Off/Def 53.2% 46.8% -

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -8 (77-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

App State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jennings * 34 8-14 3-7 2-2 4 1 2 0 1 21 13 +4.1
E. Banks * 32 7-10 1-3 1-2 7 2 1 0 1 16 15 -1.6
A. Dodd * 28 6-7 0-1 4-5 5 6 2 0 3 16 19 +13.3
L. Wilson * 27 4-9 0-0 5-9 6 0 1 3 2 13 12 +11.4
C. Moodie * 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.5
A. Njock 26 2-4 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 6 6 +2.3
J. Clarke Jr. 22 3-9 0-3 1-1 1 2 2 0 1 7 2 -5.2
J. Tot 18 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 4 +8.2
M. Marcus Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -4.4

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Amundsen * 33 1-8 0-5 7-8 4 3 0 0 2 9 6 +3.7
J. Williams * 31 3-9 2-5 0-1 6 2 1 0 1 8 7 +3.6
K. Thomas * 30 4-7 3-3 10-13 1 3 0 0 4 21 14 -12.2
B. Mitchell-Day * 26 4-10 2-5 2-2 8 3 3 1 4 12 13 -12.8
J. Munro * 25 4-6 4-5 2-2 2 2 0 1 2 14 11 +5.4
B. Brown 22 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 0 -13.0
N. Abusara 17 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 1 1 5 8 +6.1
P. Tivnan Jr. 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -0.3
C. McNamee 5 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -9.8

* = starter