Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jemel Jones * | 30 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | -8.4 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -16.1 |
| Gabe Pickens * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Julius Mims * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -9.2 |
| Cyr Malonga * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3.7 |
| Jayland Randall | 27 | 8-17 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 4 | +12.1 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +16.8 |
| Elijah Elliott | 17 | 6-12 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +3.8 |
| Augustine Ekwe | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +2.7 |
| Kyrese Mullen | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2.4 |
| Chris Terrell | 7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +4.1 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen * | 39 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | +0.4 |
| Peyton Law * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 17 | +1.7 |
| Randy Brady * | 34 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | +6.2 |
| Jayden Cooper * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +8.0 |
| Chaze Harris * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 11-11 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +12.8 |
| Brian Hawthorne | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -16.3 |
| JJ Wheat | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Hantz Louis Jeune | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -6.2 |
| Stephen Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.1 |
* = starter