Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.0% | 100.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.2% | 99.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.0% | 100.0% | +69.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 0.2% | 99.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +87 (115-28). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Robinson | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | -30.9 |
| Madison Butcher | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -25.2 |
| Alana Goosby | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -4 | -28.9 |
| Nora Perez | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -21.7 |
| Katie Peiffer | 17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -21.6 |
| Charish Thompson | 15 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | -10.6 |
| Avery Knapp | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -22.0 |
| Vivian Franklin | 14 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -9 | -9.4 |
| Gillian Bears | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -10.6 |
| Arissa Garcia | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -8 | -17.7 |
| Ana Moleon Hidalgo | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Jordan Billing | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -9.7 |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiki Rice | 28 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 27 | +37.3 |
| Gabriela Jaquez | 25 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +27.2 |
| L. Bilić | 25 | 3-13 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +17.1 |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker | 23 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | +29.2 |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker | 23 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | +29.2 |
| Amanda Muse | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +26.3 |
| Angela DugaliÄ | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +27.1 |
| Gianna Kneepkens | 20 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | +29.0 |
| Lauren Betts | 17 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 20 | +16.6 |
| Sienna Betts | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Christina Karamouzi | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +4.1 |
| Megan Grant | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.7 |
* = starter