Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.3% | 33.7% | -3.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -10 (70-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Chol | 32 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +11.3 |
| U. Tenette | 29 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +12.6 |
| J. Hall | 29 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | +8.5 |
| L. Haupt | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +6.9 |
| D. Albury | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -0.5 |
| T. Buljan | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | -0.9 |
| JT Rock | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +8.9 |
| T. Miller | 19 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +0.4 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Muniz | 34 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | -7.3 |
| J. Butler | 30 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -2.1 |
| B. Rechsteiner | 29 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | -11.5 |
| J. Pascarelli | 27 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | -3.4 |
| A. Kiudulas | 26 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | +1.2 |
| C. Booth | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| N. Djapa | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -9.6 |
| J. McIver | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.4 |
| J. Mekonnen | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -11.7 |
* = starter