Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +13 (88-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Hemenway | 37 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -2.6 |
| Bryce Quinet | 35 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | +0.6 |
| A.J. Casey | 35 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | -7.4 |
| Leif Moeller | 34 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | -5.1 |
| Joshua Hughes | 33 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | -12.7 |
| Trent Hundley | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Kaia Berridge | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJ Tenner | 39 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | +3.6 |
| Roman Domon | 28 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 24 | +18.7 |
| Javon Jackson | 27 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Mason Miller | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Fredrick King | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Brock Vice | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +4.7 |
| Mathis Courbon | 16 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +6.9 |
| Brayden Shorter | 14 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +9.9 |
| JJ Traynor | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -9.1 |
* = starter