Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | -12.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.9% | 18.1% | -8.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -21 (60-81). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Weisbrod * | 34 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Trey Campbell * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Leon Bond III * | 33 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Will Hornseth * | 31 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Ben Schwieger * | 24 | 6-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Pock | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| RJ Taylor | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Geon Hutchins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tristan Smith | 7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ismael Diouf | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hunter Jacobson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chase Courbat | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Scott * | 32 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Sterling Young * | 28 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Bruno Alocen * | 27 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Markus Harding * | 24 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Xavier Hall * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Camp Wagner | 23 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Enel St. Bernard | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jo Van Buggenhout | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Hunter Harding | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cooper Bean | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sivert Nordheim | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Caden Huttenlocker | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter