Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +17 (78-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Domon | 35 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Javon Jackson | 32 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| JJ Traynor | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Fredrick King | 23 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Layne Taylor | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| KJ Tenner | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mason Miller | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brayden Shorter | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Mathis Courbon | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brock Vice | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dylan Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger | 28 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Boden Skunberg | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ty'Reek Coleman | 27 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Landon Wolf | 25 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Ty Pence | 24 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Mason Klabo | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Landon Moore | 17 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Lieb | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jack Daugherty | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ty Blake | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter