Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +22 (86-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Dease | 35 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| JT Pettigrew | 31 | 5-17 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Rakim Chaney | 30 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Brody Whitaker | 28 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Justus McNair | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Shon Tupuola | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Sader Servilus | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Carter Hopoi | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Barnes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyonte Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty'Reek Coleman | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Landon Wolf | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Ty Pence | 28 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Landon Moore | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Johnny Kinziger | 26 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 5 | - |
| Boden Skunberg | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Lieb | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Mason Klabo | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Chase Walker | 6 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
* = starter