Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.9% | 39.1% | -2.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -10 (70-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 28 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Momoh | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| E. Crawford | 27 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| M. Lowery | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| S. Silverstein | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| R. Washington Jr. | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Nathaniel | 16 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Henderson II | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Hammons | 13 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Beljan | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Shetlar | 38 | 5-11 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. Quinn | 31 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 | - |
| A. Alia | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| O. Federiko | 27 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| I. Carr | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Thomas | 16 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| O. Larson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| G. Goodbary | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Appelhans | 14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
* = starter