Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | -3.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -15 (65-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. House | 40 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| D. Steffe | 31 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| R. Aligbe | 30 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Haynes | 27 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Mayo Jr. | 22 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Sykes | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| P. Aligbe | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Webber | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Scott | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 19 | - |
| M. Harding | 28 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Wagner | 27 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| S. Young | 24 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| X. Hall | 23 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Alocen | 23 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| E. St. Bernard | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| J. Van Buggenhout | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| C. Bean | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Nordheim | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Huttenlocker | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter