Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller | 43 | 8-13 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 14 | - |
| A.J. Casey | 42 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Joshua Hughes | 37 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Alex Hemenway | 37 | 2-11 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Bryce Quinet | 34 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Trent Hundley | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| James Dyson-Merwe | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kaia Berridge | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justus McNair | 38 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| JT Pettigrew | 35 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Owen Dease | 35 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Rakim Chaney | 27 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Shon Tupuola | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Carter Hopoi | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Sader Servilus | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Mark Brown | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tucker Tornatta | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyonte Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter