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2026-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 16.5% 83.5% -
Bradley-Terry 20.1% 79.9% -
Margin 14.1% 85.9% +9.9 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% -
Points Off/Def 40.1% 59.9% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Quinn 39 6-18 0-3 5-7 3 3 0 0 3 17 2 -
A. Alia 38 6-11 3-6 0-0 11 1 0 0 0 15 16 -
O. Larson 34 5-13 2-8 2-2 9 5 2 0 3 14 14 -
O. Federiko 26 6-8 2-3 3-5 4 4 1 2 1 17 19 -
J. Thomas 22 1-7 0-2 3-4 2 3 0 0 1 5 2 -
E. Shetlar 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
I. Carr 15 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
B. Appelhans 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Kinziger 31 3-14 2-7 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 8 -3 -
B. Skunberg 30 5-10 3-6 0-0 7 4 0 0 1 13 13 -
M. Klabo 26 0-4 0-3 0-2 3 2 1 0 2 0 0 -
L. Wolf 25 4-5 2-3 2-3 6 0 0 0 0 12 13 -
C. Walker 23 8-10 1-2 1-2 4 3 1 0 4 18 12 -
T. Coleman 20 5-8 2-3 7-9 8 3 2 0 2 19 22 -
Ty Pence 17 2-3 1-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 6 6 -
B. Lieb 15 3-5 0-0 1-3 2 1 0 3 0 7 8 -
L. Moore 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Daugherty 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter