Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Quinn | 39 | 6-18 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 2 | - |
| A. Alia | 38 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| O. Larson | 34 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| O. Federiko | 26 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| J. Thomas | 22 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| E. Shetlar | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Carr | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Appelhans | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger | 31 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -3 | - |
| B. Skunberg | 30 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| M. Klabo | 26 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Wolf | 25 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| C. Walker | 23 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| T. Coleman | 20 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Ty Pence | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Lieb | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| L. Moore | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Daugherty | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter