Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.4% | 53.6% | +0.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -4 (72-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Dease | 36 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Brody Whitaker | 36 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +8.1 |
| JT Pettigrew | 35 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +2.6 |
| Rakim Chaney | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Justus McNair | 27 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Carter Hopoi | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +4.4 |
| Shon Tupuola | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Isaiah Barnes | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +3.9 |
| Tucker Tornatta | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Sader Servilus | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Kyonte Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camp Wagner | 35 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -1.0 |
| X. Hall | 33 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Derek Vorst | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | -9.0 |
| Sterling Young | 29 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3 | -0.8 |
| Ian Scott | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -2.8 |
| Enel St. Bernard | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jo Van Buggenhout | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -6.6 |
| Bruno Alocen | 19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Markus Harding | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.3 |
* = starter